Tuesday, December 30, 2008

Rant of the Week: NFL Playoff Seeding

How screwed up is the NFL when a 9-7 team (Arizona) is hosting an 11-5 team (Atlanta), and an 8-8 team (San Diego) is hosting a 12-4 team (Indianapolis)? And even though Miami and Baltimore have identical records, Baltimore technically finished ahead of Miami because they beat them head-to-head, so that makes three of the four road teams this weekend with better records than their home opponents. And if the Eagles hadn't blown the Washington game, all four road teams would have had better records than their home counterparts. I'd be surprised if that even happened twice in one playoff week before this season.

It's a consequence of the eight-division alignment the NFL now employs: you get a weak 8-8 division winner like San Diego hosting a playoff game while New England at 11-5 is sitting home (not that I feel sorry for Belechick). I know such occurrences happened occasionally in the old six-division alignment, but that problem was largely resolved when they added a third wildcard to each conference. Things were running pretty smoothly from that point on until they decided to realign into eight divisions. Unfortunately, the NFL has backed itself into a corner. They can't add more playoff teams (that would just dilute the quality and turn the NFL into the NHL), and they'll never return to a six-division alignment, so it will probably become fairly common to see teams with double-digit wins sitting at home for the playoffs while 8-8 teams move on. We may even one day see the unthinkable scenario of a 7-9 team hosting a playoff game against a 13-3 team--it could happen, and that would be a major embarassment for the league.

At the very least, the NFL should rethink giving automatic higher seeds to division winners, because there's no way that San Diego and Arizona deserve to host playoff games.

3 comments:

Mike Frangione said...

Do you really think anything could truly embarrass the NFL? They announced layoffs in their offices while they make billions from TV contracts. They have no shame, and as long as fans keep going to games and buying the apparel...they'll be able to deal with whatever embarrassment comes their way. Even if it is a 7-9 team in the playoffs.

Michael Rappa said...

True, you don't have much shame to begin with when you're the richest professional sports league in America and you're laying people off.

The J Kane said...

I agree with the observation that the WILD CARDS had better records than their Division-winning hosts.

Even the Vegas Line showed those hosts teams as underdogs.

But who would have thought that
THOSE teams (ARIZ, SD) would advance and ATL, INDY would be sent home?

Playoffs. Amazing. I'm likin' PHL over NYG for in the upcoming Divisional Playoff.

It is still mathematiclly possible for a PENNSYLVANIA Super Bowl. Go STEAGLES!